Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Freiburg

(Juventus win 3-0 on aggregate)

di Maria (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Freiburg
56.89% ( 0.66)	22.38% ( -0.45)	20.73% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92% (

1.71)

44.08% (

-1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54% (

1.65)

66.46% (

-1.65)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

0.82)

15.27% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.02% (

1.51)

43.97% (

-1.52)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

0.77)

35.22% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

0.79)

71.98% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Juventus 56.89%

Freiburg 20.73%

Draw 22.37%

Juventus	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.89%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.73%