Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vincenzo Grifo 29' goal
  • goal Sardar Azmoun 67'

Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 0 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2023 6.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 3 Mainz
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 51.87% (+0.70)
Draw 22.65% (-0.20)
Bayer Leverkusen 25.47% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.08% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.97% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 40.02% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 37.61% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 62.38% (-0.46)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 15.54% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 55.51% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 44.48% (-0.75)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 28.85% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 35.28% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 64.71% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Freiburg 51.87%
Draw 22.65%
Bayer Leverkusen 25.47%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.77% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.99% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.82% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.79% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.24% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-98.27)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.65%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 25.47%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Tah 5' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 16' goal
  • Patrik Schick 65' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 34'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 48'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 51'
  • yellowcard Michael Gregoritsch 53'
  • goal Ritsu Doan 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 18' yellowcard
  • Julian Baumgartlinger 26' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 54' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 3'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 43'
  • yellowcard Kiliann Sildillia 77'
  • goal Janik Haberer 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 30' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 33' goal
  • Kevin Schade 84' goal
  • Lucas Holer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 32'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 39'
  • goal Charles Aranguiz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charles Aranguiz 68' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 70' goal
  • Leon Bailey 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 21'
  • goal Ermedin Demirovic 50'
  • goal Lucas Holer 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 73'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Lucas Holer 3' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dominique Heintz 50' yellowcard
  • Nils Petersen 72' goal
  • yellowcard Sven Bender 24'
  • goal Lucas Alario 29'
  • goal Lucas Alario 42'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 60'
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 64'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 76'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiastadion
  • goal Kai Havertz 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Alario 81'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 90'+2'