Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Grifo (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Azmoun (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Monaco 2-3 B. Leverkusen (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
51.87% ( 0.7)	22.65% ( -0.19)	25.47% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 60.08% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.97% (

0.44)

40.02% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.61% (

0.45)

62.38% (

-0.46)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

0.4)

15.54% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51% (

0.74)

44.48% (

-0.75)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

-0.15)

28.85% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

-0.19)

64.71% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 51.87%

Bayer Leverkusen 25.47%

Draw 22.65%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.87%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.47%