Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
6 - 0
Freiburg

Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 17 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 6-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, January 13 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Freiburg
40.07% ( -0.78)	24.71% ( -0.11)	35.22% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

0.66)

44.47% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

0.63)

66.84% (

-0.64)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

-0.09)

22.16% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

-0.14)

55.55% (

0.13)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

0.81)

24.7% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

1.13)

59.24% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 40.07%

Freiburg 35.22%

Draw 24.71%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.22%