MX23RW : Monday, April 29 08:40:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Nkunku (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41'), Woo-yeong (43'), Sildillia (46'), Sallai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This should be a highly entertaining encounter between two in-form teams, but Leipzig appear to be a class above the majority of teams in the division at present and should be able to claim a huge win. Nkunku continues to be one of the Bundesliga's most impressive players and he will be keen to remain at the top of the Bundesliga goalscoring charts, although Gregoritsch will fancy his chances of bagging once again, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
59.75% (1.664 1.66) 21.36% (-0.513 -0.51) 18.88% (-1.155 -1.16)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (0.603 0.6)42.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.602 0.6)64.56% (-0.605 -0.61)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.712 0.71)13.73% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (1.401 1.4)40.99% (-1.407 -1.41)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)36.01% (0.85 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-0.879 -0.88)72.79% (0.874 0.87)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 59.75%
    Freiburg 18.88%
    Draw 21.35%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.171 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.237 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.099 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.88%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
73.5%
Draw
11.0%
Freiburg
15.4%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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