Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Freiburg
While Bayern's potential injury issues give Freiburg an even greater chance of claiming a result, we expect the Bavarians to leapfrog their opponents in the table by claiming an important victory. Streich's side have had a relatively kind fixture list so far and may find themselves outclassed by their opponents at times, especially after Nagelsmann's side were able to take their foot off the gas away to Plzen on Wednesday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
74.42% ( 0.21) | 16.33% ( -0.12) | 9.25% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
