Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 0
Freiburg

Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
74.42% ( 0.21)	16.33% ( -0.12)	9.25% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

0.28)

41.23% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.37% (

0.28)

63.63% (

-0.29)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.48% (

0.12)

9.52% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.1% (

0.28)

31.9% (

-0.29)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.17% (

-0)

49.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.46% (

-0)

84.54%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 74.4%

Freiburg 9.25%

Draw 16.34%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 74.4%	1-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 16.34%	0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.25%