Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Bayern
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Serge Gnabry 13' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 33' goal
  • Leroy Sane 52' goal
  • Sadio Mane 55' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 80' goal

Bayern Munich vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vincenzo Grifo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 74.42% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 16.33% ▼ (-0.13)
Freiburg 9.25% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.4% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.77% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 41.23% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 36.37% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 63.63% ▼ (-0.29)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 90.48% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 9.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 68.1% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 31.9% ▼ (-0.29)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 50.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 49.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 15.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 84.54%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 74.4%
Draw 16.34%
Freiburg 9.25%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 13.11% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 10.28% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 74.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 16.34%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.25%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Freiburg
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
  • Nils Petersen 63' goal
  • Christian Gunter 70' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Goretzka 58'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 73'
  • goal Kingsley Coman 82'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 90'+3'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Bayern
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Leon Goretzka 30' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 75' goal
  • goal Janik Haberer 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Freiburg
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Bayern
  • Roland Sallai 17' yellowcard
  • Manuel Gulde 29' goal
  • Christian Gunter 81' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 26'
  • goal Leroy Sane 53'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 87'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Bayern
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Robert Lewandowski 7' goal
  • Thomas Muller 74' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 9'
  • yellowcard Roland Sallai 46'
  • goal Nils Petersen 62'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Bayern
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
Freiburg
  • Joshua Kimmich 15' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 24' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 37' goal
  • goal Lucas Holer 33'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Freiburg
Dec 18, 2019 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
Bayern
  • Vincenzo Grifo 59' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 16'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 50'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 69'
  • yellowcard Thiago Alcantara 89'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 92'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 95'

Form Data

Plzen 2 - 4 Bayern
Dortmund 2 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 0 Plzen
Bayern 4 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Augsburg 1 - 0 Bayern
Bayern 2 - 0 Barcelona
Nantes 0 - 4 Freiburg
Hertha Berlin 2 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 2 - 0 Nantes
Freiburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Hoffenheim 0 - 0 Freiburg
Olympiacos 0 - 3 Freiburg