DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
St Pauli

Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')

FT
(aet)

Daschner (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Pauli

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).

Result
Freiburg	Draw	St Pauli
40.49% ( 1.02)	24.23% ( 0.03)	35.28% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 60.36% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

-0.28)

42.21% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

-0.28)

64.61% (

0.28)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

0.36)

20.97% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26% (

0.56)

53.73% (

-0.56)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.69)

23.62% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

-1.01)

57.7% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 40.49%

St Pauli 35.28%

Draw 24.22%

Freiburg	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.49%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.28%