Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 10'
  • goal Andre Silva 50'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 62'
  • goal Valeriy Bondar 68' (OG)

Shakhtar Donetsk vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
Celtic 1 - 1 Shakhtar

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Real Madrid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.37% (-0.03)
Draw 27.06% (+0.01)
RB Leipzig 45.57% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.98% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.91% (+0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 63.59% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.41% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 26.81% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 73.2% (+0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 75.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.96% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.61% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.37%
Draw 27.06%
RB Leipzig 45.57%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.09% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
RB Leipzig
0-1 @ 12.61% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.57%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mohamed Simakan 57' goal
  • goal Maryan Shved 16'
  • goal Maryan Shved 58'
  • goal Mykhaylo Mudryk 76'
  • goal Lassina Traore 85'