Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.