Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Augsburg3 - 3RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Hamburger SV
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Augsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig
Should Augsburg be missing Nkunku and Werner from the start on Saturday, Augsburg will feel that they can take advantage of their opponents' minimised threat. The hosts have been in decent form of late despite losing their last two matches, and they have plenty of firepower themselves to test Leipzig's defensive unit. As such, we can envisage a repeat of last season's scoreline when these two sides met in Bavaria. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 78.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
8.66% ( -0.3) | 13.13% ( -0.34) | 78.21% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
