/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fauglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Mads Pedersen
9'
-
Dayot Upamecano
65'
-
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
27'
-
Joshua Kimmich
53'
-
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
59'
-
Jamal Musiala
74'
-
Alphonso Davies
90'+1'
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fleon-goretzka.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Augsburg
8.39%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
13.08%
▲
(+0.01)
Bayern Munich
78.53%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
55%
▼
(-0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.53%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
27.47%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
51.92%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
48.08%
▲
(+0.33)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5
58.23%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
41.77%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
21.77%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.29)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
94.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
5.55%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
78.4%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
21.6%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Augsburg
8.39%
Draw
13.08%
Bayern Munich
78.53%
Augsburg
2-1
@
2.56%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 8.39%
1-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 8.39%
Draw
1-1
@
5.85%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.08%
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 13.08%
Bayern Munich
0-2
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.10)
0-3 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-6 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 78.53%
0-3 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-6 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 78.53%
