Bundesliga
Gameweek
12
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-
Christopher Nkunku
32'
-
Timo Werner
83'
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result
RB Leipzig
64.6%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
19.11%
▼
(-0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen
16.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
57.77%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.75%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
36.25%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
41.63%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
58.37%
▼
(-0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
89.41%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
10.58%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
65.64%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
34.35%
▼
(-0.25)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5
64.62%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
35.38%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
27.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
72.14%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
64.6%
Draw
19.11%
Bayer Leverkusen
16.28%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
9.81%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 64.6%
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 64.6%
Draw
1-1
@
8.74%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.11%
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.11%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
@
4.54%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.28%
0-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.28%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
30
-
Piero Hincapie
48'
-
Robert Andrich
72'
-
Josko Gvardiol
36'
-
Dominik Szoboszlai
69'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
13
-
Emil Forsberg
38'
-
Andre Silva
62'
-
Robert Andrich
14'
-
Florian Wirtz
21'
-
Moussa Diaby
34'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
64'
-
Lukas Hradecky
82'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
90'+3'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
19
-
Christopher Nkunku
51'
-
Justin Kluivert
90'
-
Amadou Haidara
90'+2'
-
Karim Bellarabi
60'
-
Leon Bailey
75'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
2
-
Kerem Demirbay
19'
-
Kerem Demirbay
20'
-
Emil Forsberg
14'
-
Lukas Klostermann
45'
-
Amadou Haidara
65'
-
Tyler Adams
90'+2'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
24
-
Patrik Schick
32'
-
Kerem Demirbay
24'
-
Leon Bailey
29'
-
Jonathan Tah
39'
-
Moussa Diaby
90'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
7
-
Daley Sinkgraven
45'
-
Kevin Volland
67'
-
Mitchell Weiser
74'
-
Diego Demme
60'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
73'
-
Christopher Nkunku
78'