MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 04:31:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Nkunku (32'), Werner (83')
Kampl (35'), Diallo (76'), Henrichs (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tapsoba (26'), Hincapie (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams are far more proficient offensively than they are defensively, so we can envisage an entertaining match in Leipzig on Saturday. The hosts have been in excellent form of late and it would be a surprise if Leverkusen were to end their unbeaten run considering Alonso's side's struggles this season. We predict a home win with both teams to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
64.6% (0.312 0.31) 19.11% (-0.108 -0.11) 16.28% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (0.108 0.11)36.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (0.12 0.12)58.37% (-0.122 -0.12)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.41% (0.108 0.11)10.58% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.64% (0.247 0.25)34.35% (-0.25 -0.25)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)35.38% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.185 -0.18)72.14% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 64.6%
    Bayer Leverkusen 16.28%
    Draw 19.11%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.12% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.97% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.032 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 64.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.11%
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.28%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
85.9%
Draw
11.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
2.8%
71
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 4.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Silva (62')
Forsberg (38')
Wirtz (21'), Diaby (34'), Frimpong (64')
Andrich (14'), Hradecky (82'), Frimpong (90+3')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mar 1, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Chiefs
@
Browns
6pm
Ravens
@
Giants
6pm
Jets
@
Jags
6pm
Cowboys
@
Panthers
6pm
Washington
@
Saints
6pm
Dolphins
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.25pm
Colts
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Buccaneers
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Steelers
@
Eagles
9.25pm
Bills
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Werder Bremen146442224-222
8Wolfsburg146353125621
9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!