Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.