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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Olympiacos

Freiburg
1 - 1
Olympiacos

Kubler (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El-Arabi (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Panetolikos 0-2 Olympiakos
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawOlympiacos
40.29% (-0.109 -0.11)26.64% (0.042999999999999 0.04)33.07% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.63% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (-0.162 -0.16)53.26% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.18% (-0.136 -0.14)74.82% (0.13499999999999 0.13)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)25.97% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (-0.178 -0.18)60.98% (0.177 0.18)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)30.26% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)66.43% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.29%
    Olympiacos 33.07%
    Draw 26.63%
FreiburgDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.29%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Olympiakos

Freiburg
78.8%
Draw
8.0%
Olympiacos
13.1%
137
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group G
Olympiakos
0-3
Freiburg
Hofler (5'), Gregoritsch (25', 53')
Lienhart (61')