Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
  • goal Owusu Kwabena 68'
  • goal Marko Vesovic 82'
  • goal Ramil Seydayev 86'

Olympiacos vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Olympiacos 0 - 3 Freiburg

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Nantes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result

Olympiacos 65.68% (+0.02)
Draw 21.11% (-0.03)
Qarabag FK 13.2% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.4% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.62% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 51.37% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 26.8% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 73.19% (-0.13)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5 85.13% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 14.87% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 56.79% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 43.21% (-0.10)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 50.98% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 49.02% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 16.03% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 83.97% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Olympiacos 65.67%
Draw 21.11%
Qarabag FK 13.2%
Olympiacos
1-0 @ 13.89% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 65.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.11%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 13.2%