Potential new EL header

Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki
Qarabag

Olympiakos
0 - 3
Qarabag

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kwabena (68'), Vesovic (82'), Seydayev (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-0 Nantes
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawQarabag FK
65.68% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.11% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)13.2% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.4% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.142 0.14)51.37% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.125 0.13)73.19% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.051000000000002 0.05)14.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)43.21% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.98% (0.115 0.12)49.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.03% (0.079999999999998 0.08)83.97% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 65.67%
    Qarabag FK 13.2%
    Draw 21.11%
OlympiacosDrawQarabag FK
1-0 @ 13.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 13.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 65.67%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 13.2%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Qarabag FK

Olympiacos
46.1%
Draw
8.6%
Qarabag FK
45.4%
152