Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 43.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.