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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bloomfield Stadium
Aris

Maccabi Tel Aviv
2 - 0
Aris

Jovanovic (29'), Zahavi (84')
Saborit (45+3'), Zahavi (85'), Glazer (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iturbe (52')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 Zira FK
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Aris Thessaloniki

Last Six:
    Last Game: Neftchi Baku 3-0 Aris
    Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

    Result
    Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAris Thessaloniki
    37.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)37.92% (0.061 0.06)
    Both teams to score 57.95% (0.204 0.2)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    54.58% (0.26300000000001 0.26)45.42% (-0.261 -0.26)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    32.24% (0.25 0.25)67.75% (-0.248 -0.25)
    Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.91% (0.119 0.12)24.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    41.63% (0.169 0.17)58.37% (-0.167 -0.17)
    Aris Thessaloniki Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.33% (0.15000000000001 0.15)23.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.22% (0.214 0.21)57.77% (-0.213 -0.21)
    Score Analysis
        Maccabi Tel Aviv 37.13%
        Aris Thessaloniki 37.92%
        Draw 24.95%
    Maccabi Tel AvivDrawAris Thessaloniki
    2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
    2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
    3-1 @ 3.95% (0.014 0.01)
    3-2 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
    3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    4-1 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
    4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
    Other @ 1.98%
    Total : 37.13%
    		1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
    2-2 @ 6% (0.027 0.03)
    0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
    3-3 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
    Other @ 0.19%
    Total : 24.95%
    		1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
    0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 4.05% (0.021 0.02)
    2-3 @ 2.88% (0.025 0.02)
    0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
    1-4 @ 1.46% (0.014 0.01)
    2-4 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
    0-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
    Other @ 2.07%
    Total : 37.92%

    How you voted: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Aris

    Maccabi Tel Aviv
    42.9%
    Draw
    42.9%
    Aris Thessaloniki
    14.3%
    14