Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Neftchi Baku3 - 0Aris
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Aris Thessaloniki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aris 2-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AEK Athens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Aris Thessaloniki | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
36.82% ( 0.27) | 27.44% ( 0.01) | 35.74% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
