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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
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Zira FK
0 - 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv


Muradov (17'), Hacili (61'), Pachtmann (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kanichowsky (18'), Jovanovic (22', 54')
Jovanovic (24'), Geraldes (81')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zira FK and Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zira FK

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Last Game: Zira FK 0-0 Astra
Thursday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Maccabi Tel Aviv

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Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 PSV
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Zira FK had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Zira FK win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Zira FKDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
35.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)40.75% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)63.12% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Zira FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.92% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.22% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)52.55% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Zira FK 35.32%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 40.75%
    Draw 23.92%
Zira FKDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 40.75%