Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Panetolikos had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Panetolikos win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.