Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Hamburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Rutter (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-4 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
23.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)21.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)55.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)33.91% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)55.76% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)12.44% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-0.052 -0.05)38.37% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 23.92%
    RB Leipzig 55.03%
    Draw 21.05%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.03%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
12.8%
Draw
17.9%
RB Leipzig
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Jun 12, 2020 7.30pm