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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.92% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( 0.01) | 55.03% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( -0.05) | 33.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.25% ( -0.06) | 55.76% ( 0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( -0.02) | 26.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -0.03) | 61.99% ( 0.03) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( -0.02) | 12.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% ( -0.05) | 38.37% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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