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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 23.92% ( | 21.05% ( | 55.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( | 33.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( | 55.76% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( | 26.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( | 61.99% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( | 12.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.63% ( | 38.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 1-4 @ 3.45% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 3-4 @ 1% ( 2-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.03% |