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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leipzig logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Rutter (50')
Geiger (13'), Akpoguma (26'), Rutter (27'), Nsoki (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (17', 57'), Olmo (69')
Diallo (37'), Raum (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 30 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-4 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 RB Leipzig

With Leipzig missing some key players through injury and potentially suffering from tiredness after their excellent exploits in Europe in midweek, we can envisage Hoffenheim gaining a positive result on Saturday. However, the visitors should have enough to maintain their impressive unbeaten run, even if a draw may see them lose more ground on the top four teams in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
23.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 21.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 55.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.16% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)33.91% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)55.76% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.73% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)12.44% (0.025 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.63% (-0.052 -0.05)38.37% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 23.92%
    RB Leipzig 55.03%
    Draw 21.05%
HoffenheimDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.03%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Hoffenheim
12.8%
Draw
17.9%
RB Leipzig
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
Jun 12, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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