Hoffenheim logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Schalke

Hoffenheim
5 - 1
Schalke

Dabour (5', 43'), Angelino (16'), Kabak (51'), Kaderabek (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Drexler (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hoffenheim and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 Hoffenheim
Friday, October 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Schalke 0-3 Hoffenheim
Friday, October 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
50.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)22.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 63.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46%25.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)60.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 50.17%
    Schalke 04 27.54%
    Draw 22.29%
HoffenheimDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.41%
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 2.85%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-1 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.54%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Schalke

Hoffenheim
92.2%
Draw
5.9%
Schalke 04
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 7.30pm
Schalke
0-3
Hoffenheim

Greiml (10')
Skov (11' pen., 59'), Dabour (45+2')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-2
Schalke
Kramaric (47'), Akpoguma (52'), Baumgartner (60'), Bebou (64')
Adamyan (62')
Uth (12'), Mustafi (42')
Serdar (35'), Uth (56')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
4-0
Hoffenheim
Hoppe (42', 57', 63'), Harit (80')
Kabak (24'), Uth (71')

Bogarde (13'), Kramaric (42'), Gacinovic (50'), Baumgartner (52')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
Schalke
1-1
Hoffenheim
McKennie (20')
Baumgartner (69')
Posch (81')
Oct 20, 2019 5pm
Hoffenheim
2-0
Schalke
Kramaric (72'), Bebou (85')
Geiger (37'), Posch (68')

Harit (80'), Sane (83')