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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
37.98% ( 0.04) | 24.96% ( -0.01) | 37.06% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% ( 0.03) | 45.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( 0.03) | 67.81% ( -0.03) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.33% ( 0.04) | 23.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% ( 0.05) | 57.77% ( -0.05) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% | 24.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.53% | 58.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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