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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Dabour (32')
Geiger (8'), Vogt (71'), Kabak (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Gruev (44'), Friedl (45+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

Werder have performed much better than most people would have expected so far this season, with only Bayern Munich scoring more goals than them across the entire division. As such, it could be an entertaining affair, with Hoffenheim potentially ending up with a third successive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 22.56% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.13% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)61.2% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.85%
    Werder Bremen 27.59%
    Draw 22.56%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
62.7%
Draw
21.1%
Werder Bremen
16.3%
166
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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