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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
44.94% ( -0.49) | 23.19% ( 0.09) | 31.86% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( -0.25) | 38.24% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.27) | 60.52% ( 0.26) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.57% ( -0.29) | 17.42% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.12% ( -0.51) | 47.87% ( 0.5) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( 0.11) | 23.68% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( 0.16) | 57.79% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41 | 10 | 31 | 33 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 21 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 2 |
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