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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Hoffenheim logo

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Kainz (13')
Duda (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, October 28 at 12pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 Hoffenheim

We can envisage Hoffenheim punishing Koln's tiredness and the amount of players that they have unavailable with an away win on Sunday. The hosts feel like a team who could do with next month's World Cup starting even sooner than it does, with injury problems and fixture pile-up's mounting on Baumgart's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
47.73% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.48% (0.177 0.18) 28.79% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.12% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.749 -0.75)41.27% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (-0.766 -0.77)63.67% (0.771 0.77)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)17.52% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-0.698 -0.7)48.03% (0.701 0.7)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.303 -0.3)27.11% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.399 -0.4)62.5% (0.402 0.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 47.73%
    Hoffenheim 28.79%
    Draw 23.47%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.73%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Hoffenheim

FC Koln
24.7%
Draw
17.3%
Hoffenheim
58.0%
81
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-1
FC Koln
Baumgartner (11', 46'), Zuber (48')
Hubner (3'), Grillitsch (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Nordtveit (76'), Bebou (84')
Hubner (50')
Kainz (60')
Jakobs (65')
Bornauw (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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