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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
40.08% ( 0.24) | 23.49% ( -0.03) | 36.43% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 63.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% ( 0.11) | 38.41% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% ( 0.12) | 60.7% ( -0.12) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% ( 0.16) | 19.54% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.55% ( 0.26) | 51.45% ( -0.26) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -0.06) | 21.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0.09) | 54.21% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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