MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 18:51:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Koln logo

Mainz
5 - 0
FC Koln

Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
Kohr (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kilian (10'), Uth (35'), Soldo (50'), Martel (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lubeck 0-3 Mainz
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 FC Koln

There is very little to split these two sides - who have both hugely improved in the last 18 months or so - and as such we can envisage a share of the spoils on Friday. Although the incentive of moving up to a top-four position may spur both teams on to go for the win, neither are likely to be too disappointed with avoiding defeat in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
36.34% (0.061000000000007 0.06) 25.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 38.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)69.82% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.39% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)24.49% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)58.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 36.34%
    FC Koln 38.24%
    Draw 25.42%
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.24%

How you voted: Mainz vs FC Koln

Mainz 05
51.2%
Draw
25.0%
FC Koln
23.8%
164
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz 05
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Mainz 05
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
FC Koln
2-3
Mainz 05
Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')
Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
0-1
FC Koln

Niakhate (37'), Latza (45+1'), Onisiwo (67'), Stoger (75')
Rexhbecaj (55')
Ozcan (70'), Duda (75'), Horn (81')
Duda (76')
May 17, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
7Wolfsburg146353125621
8Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
10Stuttgart135532623320
11Werder Bremen135442024-419
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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