Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lubeck had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lubeck win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Lubeck	Draw	Mainz 05
32.36% ( 0.01)	25.25% ( 0)	42.39% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.4% (

-0.01)

47.6% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

-0.01)

69.8% (

Lubeck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

27.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

63.54% (

-0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.01)

22.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-0.02)

55.89% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lubeck 32.36%

Mainz 05 42.39%

Draw 25.24%

Lubeck	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.39%