DFB-Pokal
Oct 18, 2022 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Lohmühle
  • goal Alexander Hack 16'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 43'
  • goal Aymen Barkok 88'

Lubeck vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lubeck

All competitions

Mainz 05

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Lubeck had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lubeck win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result

Lubeck 32.36% (+0.02)
Draw 25.25% (+0.01)
Mainz 05 42.39% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.94% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.19% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.8% (+0.01)

Lubeck Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.46% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.54% (-0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.39% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lubeck 32.36%
Draw 25.24%
Mainz 05 42.39%
Lubeck
1-0 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.39%