Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 10

Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
54.2% ( -0.33)	22.24% ( 0.14)	23.56% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 59.31% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94% (

-0.44)

40.06% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.57% (

-0.46)

62.43% (

0.46)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

-0.26)

14.78% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

-0.5)

43.03% (

0.5)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

-0.07)

30.4% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

-0.09)

66.6% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 54.2%

Mainz 05 23.56%

Draw 22.24%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.2%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.56%