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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz


Fullkrug (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ingvartsen (36'), Jae-sung (66')
Hack (45'), Burkardt (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05

Bremen seem like a much more settled unit than Mainz, who may be struggling with the unavailability of a few key players. In the shape of their front two, the hosts have more firepower than the majority of teams in the division on current form, and we can see them ending Saturday in second position by gaining a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
54.2% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33) 22.24% (0.14 0.14) 23.56% (0.199 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94% (-0.438 -0.44)40.06% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.456 -0.46)62.43% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.259 -0.26)14.78% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.501 -0.5)43.03% (0.505 0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.4% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)66.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 54.2%
    Mainz 05 23.56%
    Draw 22.24%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.2%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen
82.7%
Draw
9.6%
Mainz 05
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 5.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-5
Mainz 05

Eggestein (77'), Bittencourt (79')
Quaison (10', 19', 38'), Pavlenka (15' og.), Mateta (81')
Fernandes (18'), Baku (79')
Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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