Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
0 - 2
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grifo (45+1', 61' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Olympiakos
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Freiburg
32.25% ( -0.25)	23.61% ( -0.03)	44.13% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

0.05)

40.1% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

0.05)

62.46% (

-0.05)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

-0.12)

24.34% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.26% (

-0.17)

58.73% (

0.17)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

0.14)

18.49% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29% (

0.23)

49.7% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 32.25%

Freiburg 44.13%

Draw 23.61%

Schalke 04	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.25%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.13%