/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fschlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
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Vincenzo Grifo
45'+1'
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Vincenzo Grifo
61'
Schalke 04 vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result
Schalke 04
32.25%
▼
(-0.25)
Draw
23.61%
▼
(-0.04)
Freiburg
44.13%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
61.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.9%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
40.1%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
37.53%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
62.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5
75.66%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
24.34%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
41.26%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
58.73%
▲
(+0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
81.5%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
18.49%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
50.29%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
49.7%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Schalke 04
32.25%
Draw
23.61%
Freiburg
44.13%
Schalke 04
2-1
@
7.58%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.25%
1-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1
@
10.73%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
2-2 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
Freiburg
1-2
@
9.06%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 44.13%
0-1 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 44.13%
