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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
32.25% ( -0.25) | 23.61% ( -0.03) | 44.13% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( 0.05) | 40.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.05) | 62.46% ( -0.05) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% ( -0.12) | 24.34% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.26% ( -0.17) | 58.73% ( 0.17) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( 0.14) | 18.49% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( 0.23) | 49.7% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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