Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
2 - 1
Schalke

Tousart (49'), Kanga (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mollet (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Schalke 04
42.32% ( 0.27)	24.6% ( -0.18)	33.08% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

0.78)

44.47% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

0.75)

66.84% (

-0.75)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

0.46)

21.09% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

0.71)

53.91% (

-0.71)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

0.31)

25.95% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.42)

60.96% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 42.32%

Schalke 04 33.08%

Draw 24.6%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.32%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.08%