Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Qarabag
1 - 1
Freiburg

Kwabena (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Petersen (25' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Freiburg
19.66% ( 0.05)	23.9% ( -0.01)	56.44% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

0.09)

51.79% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

0.08)

73.56% (

-0.08)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.23% (

0.11)

40.77% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65% (

0.09)

77.35% (

-0.1)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

0.02)

18.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.82% (

0.03)

49.18% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 19.66%

Freiburg 56.43%

Draw 23.89%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.66%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.43%