/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fqarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffreilog.png)
-
Owusu Kwabena
90'+2'
-
Nils Petersen
25'
Qarabag FK vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F45%2Fgurban-gurbanov.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result
Qarabag FK
19.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
23.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Freiburg
56.44%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
48.46%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.2%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
51.79%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
26.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
73.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
59.23%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
40.77%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
22.65%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
77.35%
▼
(-0.10)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5
81.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
18.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
50.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
49.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Qarabag FK
19.66%
Draw
23.89%
Freiburg
56.43%
Qarabag FK
1-0
@
6.65%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.66%
2-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.66%
Draw
1-1
@
11.33%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.89%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.89%
Freiburg
0-1
@
12.63%
▼
(-0.04)
0-2 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.43%
0-2 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.43%