Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
4 - 1
Union Berlin

Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Michel (84' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
46.4% ( 0.91)	26.23% ( -0.03)	27.37% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 50.12% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

-0.36)

53.91% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.3)

75.36% (

0.3)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

0.28)

23.2% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

0.4)

57.1% (

-0.4)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27% (

-0.88)

34.73% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54% (

-0.95)

71.46% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 46.4%

Union Berlin 27.37%

Draw 26.23%

Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.15% Total : 27.37%