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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 2
Augsburg

Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Khedira (12')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Niederlechner (9', 39')
Gumny (20'), Bauer (21'), Demirovic (26'), Gouweleeuw (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg

 Though there is a large divide between these two teams in terms of results this year, the potential for a goal-fest is very high between Union and Augsburg. The fluid counter-attacking of Augsburg's formation, including an in-form Mergim Berisha, the rapidity of Jensen on the wings, and the intelligence of Demirovic and Niederlechner, could all help to exploit Union's aggression. Such a result for Augsburg is contingent on Union's players showing the same lethargy they did at the weekend. The fixture list has been much kinder on Augsburg, and they may prove a tough opponent for Fischer's Union. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
59.98% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.23% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (-0.118 -0.12)53.15% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (-0.1 -0.1)74.72% (0.104 0.1)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)17.4% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)44.96% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1% (-0.137 -0.14)80.9% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 59.97%
    Augsburg 16.79%
    Draw 23.22%
Union BerlinDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.97%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Augsburg

Union Berlin
79.8%
Draw
10.6%
Augsburg
9.6%
94
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
Gregoritsch (16'), Hahn (59')

Khedira (42'), Voglsammer (60')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Augsburg

Khedira (41')

Oxford (36'), Dorsch (86')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Niederlechner (17', 47')
Strobl (45'), Oxford (49'), Niederlechner (55')
Ingvartsen (25')
Trimmel (67')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-3
Augsburg
Bulter (75')
Trimmel (9'), Griesbeck (62')
Vargas (41'), Gregoritsch (82'), Hahn (89')
Jan 25, 2020 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-0
Augsburg
Subotic (47'), Ingvartsen (61')
Schlotterbeck (67'), Subotic (68'), Gentner (70'), Andrich (74')

Gouweleeuw (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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