Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Behrens (79'), Doekhi (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Elvedi (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
53.46% ( 1.96)	24.62% ( -0.09)	21.92% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

-1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

-1.45)

52.02% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

-1.27)

73.75% (

1.26)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

0.22)

19.41% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.77% (

0.35)

51.23% (

-0.35)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.46% (

-2.57)

38.54% (

2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71% (

-2.54)

75.28% (

2.54)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 53.45%

Borussia Monchengladbach 21.92%

Draw 24.62%

Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.92%