Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.