MX23RW : Friday, December 13 08:29:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Wolfsburg

Mainz
0 - 3
Wolfsburg


Stach (75'), Svensson (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg have been in good form and have shown they are very difficult to beat. With Mainz coming off a 6-2 defeat, we would expect them to bounce back in this game but overall, it will be a tight affair and a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
48.44% (-0.326 -0.33) 24.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 27.06% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.022000000000002 0.02)69.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-0.125 -0.13)19.49% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (-0.203 -0.2)51.36% (0.2 0.2)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.22799999999999 0.23)31.35% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.264 0.26)67.72% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 48.44%
    Wolfsburg 27.06%
    Draw 24.5%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.06%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
55.0%
Draw
21.7%
Wolfsburg
23.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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