Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Bayern
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
6
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Mainz
  • Serge Gnabry 5' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 28' goal
  • Sadio Mane 43' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 58' goal
  • Mathys Tel 79' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 86' goal
  • goal Silvan Widmer 45'+4'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 82'

Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 0 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Serge Gnabry

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Mainz 5 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 80.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 12.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Mainz 05 6.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.55% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 45.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 54.3% ▼ (-0.13)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 93.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 6.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 76.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.76% ▼ (-0.11)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 15.87%
Under 1.5 84.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 80.12%
Draw 12.9%
Mainz 05 6.97%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 80.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 12.9%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 6.97%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Mainz
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Bayern
  • Jonathan Burkardt 18' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 27' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 57' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 33'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 43'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 73'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Jamal Musiala 27' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 36' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Coman 53' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 56' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 74' goal
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 22'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 89'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Mainz
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Bayern
  • Jonathan Burkardt 3' goal
  • Robin Quaison 37' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 58' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 59' yellowcard
  • Danny da Costa 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerome Boateng 36'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 41'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 42'
  • yellowcard Robert Lewandowski 73'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Bayern
Jan 3, 2021 5.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Mainz
  • Jerome Boateng 32' yellowcard
  • Joshua Kimmich 50' goal
  • Leroy Sane 55' goal
  • David Alaba 62' yellowcard
  • Niklas Sule 70' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 76' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 83' goal
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 32'
  • goal Alexander Hack 44'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mainz
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Opel Arena
Bayern
  • Jeremiah St Juste 45' goal
  • Jeremiah St Juste 57' yellowcard
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 87' yellowcard
  • Danny Latza 88' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 8'
  • goal Thomas Muller 14'
  • goal Thiago Alcantara 26'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 64'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Bayern
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Arena (München)
Mainz
  • Joshua Kimmich 20' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 36' goal
  • David Alaba 45' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 54' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 64' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 73' yellowcard
  • Thiago Alcantara 75' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 78' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 80' goal
  • goal Jean-Paul Boetius 6'
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 33'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 45'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kunde 77'

Form Data

Barcelona 0 - 3 Bayern
Hoffenheim 0 - 2 Bayern
Augsburg 2 - 5 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 0 Freiburg
Plzen 2 - 4 Bayern
Dortmund 2 - 2 Bayern
Mainz 5 - 0 FC Koln
Lubeck 0 - 3 Mainz
Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
Freiburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Hertha Berlin