Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
6 - 2
Mainz

Gnabry (5'), Musiala (28'), Mane (43'), Goretzka (58'), Tel (79'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (86')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Widmer (45+4'), Ingvartsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Bayern
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 5-0 FC Koln
Friday, October 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
80.13% ( 0.08)	12.9% ( -0.05)	6.97% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.55% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.37% (

0.11)

32.63% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.7% (

0.13)

54.3% (

-0.13)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.69% (

0.04)

6.32% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.24% (

0.11)

23.76% (

-0.1)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75% (

49.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87%

84.13% (

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 80.12%

Mainz 05 6.97%

Draw 12.9%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Mainz 05
2-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 80.12%	1-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 12.9%	0-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 6.97%