Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
3 - 2
Stuttgart

Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
45.24% ( 0.43)	24.77% ( -0.07)	29.99% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

0.12)

46.46% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

0.11)

68.74% (

-0.11)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

0.24)

20.6% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

0.38)

53.15% (

-0.38)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

-0.19)

28.92% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

-0.24)

64.79% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 45.24%

Stuttgart 29.99%

Draw 24.76%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.99%