Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%).