Bundesliga
Gameweek
21
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-
Nadiem Amiri
32'
-
Patrik Schick
58'
-
Anthony Caci
26'
-
Leandro Barreiro
45'+4'
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
82'
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Bayer Leverkusen
57.2%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
22.45%
▼
(-0.09)
Mainz 05
20.34%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
54.03%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.08%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
44.92%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
32.72%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
67.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5
84.53%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
15.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
55.67%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
44.33%
▼
(-0.26)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
63.91%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
36.08%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
27.13%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
72.86%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Bayer Leverkusen
57.19%
Draw
22.45%
Mainz 05
20.34%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
@
10.41%
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 57.19%
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 57.19%
Draw
1-1
@
10.61%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.45%
0-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.45%
Mainz 05
0-1
@
5.69%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 20.34%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
4
-
Delano Burgzorg
70'
-
Piero Hincapie
3'
-
Exequiel Palacios
29'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
39'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
41'
-
Robert Andrich
45'
-
Jeremie Frimpong
60'
-
Mitchel Bakker
76'
-
Piero Hincapie
77'
-
Mitchel Bakker
90'+4'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
23
-
Aaron Caricol
57'
-
Aaron Caricol
66'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
84'
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
88'
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
90'+5'
-
Amine Adli
31'
-
Patrik Schick
35'
-
Kerem Demirbay
56'
-
Lucas Alario
74'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
6
-
Jonathan Tah
11'
-
Moussa Diaby
44'
-
Florian Wirtz
62'
-
Mitchel Bakker
83'
-
Lucas Alario
90'+3'
-
Anderson Lucoqui
44'
-
Anton Stach
69'
-
Lee Jae-sung
86'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
21
-
Jonathan Tah
3'
-
Wendell
13'
-
Lucas Alario
14'
-
Edmond Tapsoba
67'
-
Patrik Schick
68'
-
Timothy Fosu-Mensah
82'
-
Patrik Schick
84'
-
Robert Glatzel
89'
-
Kevin Stoger
90'+2'
-
Kevin Stoger
90'+4'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
4
-
Danny Latza
75'
-
Edimilson Fernandes
85'
-
Dong-Won Ji
86'
-
Lucas Alario
30'
-
Lars Bender
57'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
34
-
Kevin Volland
2'
-
Julian Baumgartlinger
90'+1'
-
Moussa Niakhate
68'