Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Kevin Behrens 32' goal
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 84' goal
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 79'

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 0 - 2 Union Berlin
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Sheraldo Becker

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Mainz 5 - 2 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Karim Onisiwo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result

Union Berlin 56.95% ▼ (-0.79)
Draw 23.61% ▲ (+0.39)
Mainz 05 19.44% ▲ (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.05% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 50.95% ▲ (+1.01)
Over 3.5 27.18% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 3.5 72.82% ▲ (+0.89)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 82.31% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 0.5 17.69% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 1.5 51.67% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 1.5 48.32% ▲ (+1.13)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 59.48% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 40.52% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 77.12% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 56.94%
Draw 23.61%
Mainz 05 19.44%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 12.41% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.61%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.44%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mainz
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Karim Onisiwo 5' yellowcard
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Genki Haraguchi 8' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 42' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 56' goal
  • Paul Jaeckel 67' yellowcard
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 75' goal
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rani Khedira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 12'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 18'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 58'
  • redcard Dominik Kohr 60'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 90'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Mainz
Oct 3, 2021 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 39' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 75' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Genki Haraguchi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Robin Knoche 65'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 69'
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 73'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 79'
  • yellowcard Max Kruse 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mainz
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Moussa Niakhate 22' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 28' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 21'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teuchert 33'
  • redcard Nico Schlotterbeck 55'
  • yellowcard Robin Knoche 60'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
Oct 2, 2020 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Mainz
  • Max Kruse 13' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 33' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 49' goal
  • Marvin Friedrich 63' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 64' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 53'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 59'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 67'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah St Juste 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
May 27, 2020 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Mainz
  • Robert Andrich 20' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 33' goal
  • Robert Andrich 42' redcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 78' yellowcard
  • Marvin Friedrich 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Bote Baku 13'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 78'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 89'

Form Data

Union Berlin 2 - 1 Wolfsburg
Hertha Berlin 0 - 2 Union Berlin
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 3 - 1 Hoffenheim
Freiburg 4 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 2 Augsburg
Mainz 0 - 4 Bayern
Mainz 5 - 2 VfL Bochum
Mainz 1 - 2 Dortmund
Stuttgart 1 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Schalke 1 - 0 Mainz