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Lee Jae-sung
2'
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Julian Ryerson
4'
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Giovanni Reyna
90'+3'
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Mainz 05 Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 24.08%
2-2 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1% ▼ (-98.10)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 54.24%
