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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
5 - 0
Stuttgart

Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 0-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 15.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
65.92% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)18.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)15.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.6% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)36.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7%10.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.92%
    Stuttgart 15.34%
    Draw 18.74%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.42%
3-0 @ 7.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 65.92%
1-1 @ 8.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.74%
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
81.9%
Draw
6.7%
Stuttgart
11.4%
105
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
Mar 9, 2019 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Stuttgart
Reus (62' pen.), Alcacer (84'), Pulisic (90')
Reus (69'), Wolf (70'), Witsel (86')
Kempf (71')
Zuber (57'), Insua (68'), Ascacibar (90')