Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.