DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK

HDI-Arena

Hannover
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arrey-Mbi (11' og.), Bellingham (71' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hannover and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hannover

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Hannover 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, October 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hannover win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Hannover	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
24.43% ( 1.61)	22.12% ( 0.54)	53.45% ( -2.15)

Both teams to score 60.83% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47% (

-0.76)

38.52% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

-0.81)

60.82% (

0.81)

Hannover Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14% (

0.89)

28.86% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

1.1)

64.72% (

-1.1)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.51% (

-0.94)

14.49% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.52% (

-1.84)

42.48% (

1.84)

Score Analysis

Hannover 24.43%

Borussia Dortmund 53.45%

Draw 22.11%

Hannover	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.35% Total : 24.43%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.11%	1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.45%