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Champions League

Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Sevilla logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Sevilla

Bellingham (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kouassi (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
38.09% (0.35700000000001 0.36)29.04% (0.154 0.15)32.86% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84% (-0.583 -0.58)62.15% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.43 -0.43)81.85% (0.434 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)31.53% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)67.93% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)34.99% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.708 -0.71)71.73% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Sevilla 32.86%
    Draw 29.04%
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Sevilla

Borussia Dortmund
83.0%
Draw
8.0%
Sevilla
9.0%
324
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Group G
Sevilla
1-4
Dortmund
En-Nesyri (51')
Gudelj (3')
Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')
Mar 9, 2021 8pm
Dortmund
2-2
Sevilla
Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Dortmund
Suso (7'), De Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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