Champions League
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Jude Bellingham 35' goal
  • goal Tanguy Kouassi 18'

Borussia Dortmund vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 4 Dortmund

Sevilla

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Sevilla 1 - 4 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 38.09% (+0.36)
Draw 29.04% (+0.16)
Sevilla 32.86% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.84% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 62.15% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 18.15% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 81.85% (+0.44)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 68.47% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.53% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 32.07% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 67.93% (+0.10)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 65.01% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 34.99% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 28.27% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 71.73% (+0.72)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
Draw 29.04%
Sevilla 32.86%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 12.73% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.37% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.04%
Sevilla
0-1 @ 11.58% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.86%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Youssef En-Nesyri 51' goal
  • goal Raphael Guerreiro 6'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 41'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 43'
  • goal Julian Brandt 75'
Champions League
Mar 9, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mateu Morey 20' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 35' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 54' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 55' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 40'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 51'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 55'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 69'
  • yellowcard Oscar 71'
  • yellowcard Fernando 76'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 77'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 90'+6'
Champions League
Feb 17, 2021 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Suso 7' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 84' goal
  • Oscar 88' yellowcard
  • Julen Lopetegui 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Mahmoud Dahoud 19'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 27'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 43'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 73'
  • yellowcard Erling Braut Haaland 90'+1'