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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Dortmund logo

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
25.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)20.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)53.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.41% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.66% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.01% (0.092000000000006 0.09)51.98% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.012 0.01)11.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 25.99%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.17%
    Draw 20.83%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.17%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Dortmund

Borussia Monchengladbach
20.6%
Draw
12.5%
Borussia Dortmund
66.9%
160
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 4.30pm
Dortmund
6-0
Borussia M'bach
Reus (26', 82'), Malen (32'), Wolf (70'), Moukoko (74'), Can (90+1' pen.)
Zagadou (12'), Dahoud (35')

Bensebaini (14')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-0
Dortmund
Zakaria (37')
Zakaria (13'), Stindl (33'), Netz (45+2'), Kone (59')

Dahoud (10'), Pongracic (35'), Bellingham (85')
Dahoud (40')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Dortmund

Stindl (32'), Bensebaini (90+2')
Sancho (66')
Dahoud (29'), Reus (50'), Hitz (90+5')
Dahoud (90+2')
Jan 22, 2021 7.30pm
Sep 19, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
Borussia M'bach
Reyna (35'), Braut Haaland (54' pen., 77')
Akanji (13')

Stindl (39')