Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.