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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Dortmund logo

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.01% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.209 -0.21)46.02% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.197 -0.2)68.33% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.248 -0.25)27.89% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.317 -0.32)63.5% (0.32 0.32)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 24.79%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Borussia Dortmund
41.2%
136
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Frankfurt
2-3
Dortmund
Borre (15', 24')
Hinteregger (87'), Chandler (88'), Borre (90+4')
Hazard (71'), Bellingham (87'), Dahoud (89')
Braut Haaland (87'), Hazard (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
5-2
Frankfurt
Reus (23'), Hazard (32'), Braut Haaland (34', 70'), Reyna (58')
Passlack (27' og.), Petter Hauge (86')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-2
Frankfurt
Hummels (45')
Schulz (11' og.), Silva (87')
Kostic (25'), Sow (33'), Rode (76')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Frankfurt
1-1
Dortmund
Kamada (9')
N'Dicka (41'), Kamada (47'), Rode (60'), Sow (64'), Kostic (82'), Abraham (85')
Reyna (56')
Can (88')
Feb 14, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Werder Bremen31107144150-937
11Heidenheim30810124352-934
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
16Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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