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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
68.84% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)17.09% (0.041 0.04)14.07% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.79% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)8.21% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.27% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)28.72% (0.061 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.13799999999999 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.144 0.14)71.54% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 68.84%
    VfL Bochum 14.07%
    Draw 17.09%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 68.84%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.07%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
91.9%
Draw
4.0%
VfL Bochum
4.0%
99
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')