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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
68.84% ( -0.14) | 17.09% ( 0.04) | 14.07% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.53% ( 0.02) | 52.47% ( -0.02) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.79% ( -0.02) | 8.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.27% ( -0.06) | 28.72% ( 0.06) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.14) | 71.54% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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