DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
VfL Bochum

Elversberg
0 - 1
VfL Bochum

FT(HT: 0-0)
Losilla (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Elversberg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
48.45% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)29.22% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (0.090999999999994 0.09)35.54% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (0.101 0.1)57.59% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.10899999999999 0.11)23.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.152 0.15)58.17% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 48.45%
    VfL Bochum 29.22%
    Draw 22.34%
ElversbergDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.45%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Elversberg vs VfL Bochum

Elversberg
32.3%
Draw
12.9%
VfL Bochum
54.8%
31
rhs 2.0


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